The earth has many symptoms of life, just like a living being; it is a green planet that literally breathes and hosts life. Perhaps other planets in the solar system were once that way as well, but today they are dead planets. In order for a planet to host life and be alive, its core must be active; all of its planetary activities must be functional. If the core does not have the rotational energy and heat necessary to sustain planetary life, then that planet is really dead. This is what makes Earth different from other planets in the solar system and even from those in nearby galaxies.

The Earth on which we live, the only living green planet, has an external core rotating around a solid inner core, and this motion supports life: it works like a coil that forms a magnetic field around it. This is how the plants, animals and people on Earth can stay alive; this magnetic field protects life from solar wind and its effects. Life will continue on earth as long as seismic activity, earthquakes, volcanic activity and the Earth's core heat energy parameters continue at normal levels.

Our Eternal Almighty Lord, who created and sustains all the heavens and the planets, has made everything dependent on causes, parameters and models. The existence of everything, all living and non-living things, is in His hands and recorded on his "Main Computer". Even if humans studied science for eternity, they could never fully discover and understand these mathematical models that He has created. However, humans can and are discovering finite, erroneous and deficient approaches for the models that our Infinite Almighty Lord has developed for the physical universe.

In everything that the Eternal Almighty One has created, there is life and provision as well as danger and torment. That is, in almost everything, including the sun, moon, planets, stars, the earth, the Earth's core and its magma. Earth is a planet full of life that hosts life forms, but it also home to destructive disasters. When the Earth’s core functions within its normal cyclical range, life and vitality are normal on the Earth. However, whenever the core's parameters exceed normal limits, this living planet either dies or destructive globe activities occur that threaten all life forms. This was true during Noah's flood, and it is true today.

The core-magma at the center of the Earth is not only divine light and mercy for those living on it but also fire and torment when its heat energy increases.

The most severe planetary activity that we have ever seen on the earth occurred during Noah's flood. In other words, the core heat/energy increased, the magma-oven heated up and the Earth groaned and went into a destructive dimension of energy by the command of the Eternal Almighty One. The proof in the Qur'an is as follows:

When describing Noah's flood in Hud (11)/40, the Lord of the heavens and the earth said: "When Our commandment came to pass, 'fara at-tannuru'(we heated up the magma-oven)." The expression in this verse is repeated exactly the same way for emphasis in Al-Mumenoon (23)/27. The key concept of 'fara at-tannuru', which is full of meaning and describes natural disasters on the Earth today, can be explained as follows:

The meaning of "tannur" is an "enclosed oven". It is like an earthen tandoor oven. Probably the actual root is "nur", which means "light". Originally a Hebrew word, " tanur" means "oven". In Arabic, it gained a degree of intensity to become "tannur". In addition, Arabs also call the Earth "Tannur". A very similar word to "tannur" is "tannar", a word derived from " nar" that means "fire".

The Turkish word "feveran" is a word derived from the root "fvr" that means "severe sudden boiling or gushing". So what does it mean when these two concepts are used together? "Fara at-tannuru" means "the oven was heated up"; that is, it was made more severe and its heat was suddenly increased.

When we take into consideration the core of the Earth, the meaning of "fara at-tannuru" is that the magma-oven was heated up. In summary, the aforementioned verses tell us that the core temperature of the Earth severely increased. So, Noah's flood occurred because of the increase of heat and resultant energy at the center of the Earth. Thanks to modern science, we know that the heat increase or sudden energy increase occurring in the core causes chain reactions on the Earth.

The primary parameter change that brought about Noah's flood is the fact that the heat energy of the core suddenly increased. This sudden energy increase triggers many other parameters. This causes a chain reaction of natural events and disasters; in other words, the globe activities: Severe global earthquakes, continents sinking and rising, water gushing forth from the crevices in the earth, global volcanic eruptions and steam rising into the atmosphere, all followed by a universal Noah's flood. When many" comets that are mountains of ice"were added to this chain of natural disasters, the universal Noah's flood was inevitable. We will discuss this topic later under the heading" Global Destruction: Noah's Flood".

We are defending the view that the natural disasters occurring on the Earth today are of such magnitude that they cannot be explained by global warming; the actual underlying cause is the heat-energy increase at Earth's core. The name of our website, "The Approaching Hour", is a clear summary of this truth. It's proof is hidden in a correct reading of the Qur'an, Sahih Sunnah, the Torah/Old Testament, Noah's flood and scientific research, especially the natural disasters observed over the past 20 years. We continually find evidence that verifies the forecasted projection based on revelation, science and observations that are presented by The Approaching Hour.

We think that the work done by Geochange research group led by Prof. Elchin N. Khalilov, has accurately diagnosed the source of planetary activity, and the global scientific research they have carried out is the most accurate explanation of the natural disasters occurring today. Global warming and climate change is not the cause of planetary events and natural disasters; conversely, it is the result. Let us summarize: The increase in thermal energy of the core at the center of the Earth is triggering all the natural disasters around the globe, causing a chain of natural incidents and disasters to occur.

The research carried out by Mr. Khalilov with his research group is a scientific proof verifying this thesis, which we have been defending for quite a long time without declaring it to the public. We need to make this declaration at this time to establish a historical record. Furthermore, we must state that this completely scientific conclusion and diagnosis of Mr. Khalilov and his team is a confirmation for us and a warning for humanity that is worthy of commendation. Unfortunately, there are very few scientists today who are not afraid of power barons and are able to announce impartial scientific truths that are warnings for humanity.

In conclusion, it is our opinion that Mr. Khalilov and Geochange have correctly interpreted natural disasters. They have carried out research and statistical projections regarding the severe disasters that are expected on Earth in the future. Mankind is ignoring the current and future facts about the Earth, and if they continue to be blind to where the Earth is headed and be deaf to the " groanings of the globe", they will be entering a stage when it will be impossible to turn back from The Approaching Hour.

The following is an extended summary of the Geochange 2010 Report and statistical projections made by Mr. Khalilov's organization.

PLANETARY CHANGE ON THE EARTH: GEOCHANGE 2010 REPORT

Fig. 3: Economic losses caused by natural disasters around the world from 1950-2009. The graph shows that total economic losses are approaching one trillion US dollars.

Scientific data gathered to date regarding the earth makes it possible to take a closer look at the changes occurring in nature on a global scale. Therefore, we must make a thorough study of the negative effect that global changes are having on sustainable development for human civilization.

Many scientists around the world have noticed that these changes are not just in the climate; they have also noticed them in many other factors, including the Earth's core, atmosphere and even the magnetosphere.

"Global Changes in the Environment" refers to natural changes that affect the whole planet. In other words, the changes inside and outside the Earth and the effects of cosmic factors occurring in the solar system have begun to have a negative effect on the sustainability of human life.

This scientific study can be summarized with the heading Planetary Change on the Earth (geochange), and our purpose in this study is to describe the ways that the aforementioned processes and the future of humanity could be affected.

We have proven that the increase in the average temperature of our planet has not only resulted in more frequent occurrences of extreme weather events such as tornados, hurricanes and tropical storms, but also in accelerated movement of the magnetic poles and changes in the Earth's shape and rate of rotation, resulting in more frequent violent earthquakes, volcanic eruptions and tsunamis. It is for this reason that it has now been revealed that global climate change is only a part of global changes in the planet.

TERRIFYING STATISTICS

Fig. 6: Graph showing number of dead caused by earthquakes from 1900 to June 2010. (USGS)

Fig. 8: Earthquakes with a magnitude greater than 8. (USGS)

Fig. 9: Monthly graph of earthquakes with a magnitude greater than 6.5 from January 1, 1977 to April 30, 2010. (USGS)

Fig. 10: Volcanic eruptions occurring around the world from 1900 to June 2010.

When compared with 50 years ago, the number of people killed in large earthquakes around the world has multiplied 8.6 times over the past 10 years. Some of these earthquakes did more than just cause massive numbers of deaths. The 9.1 magnitude Sumatra earthquake, one of the largest earthquakes in human history, not only caused the deaths of 300,000 people; it also changed the geophysical character of the earth. According to NASA scientists, the planet’s rotation rate was affected and changes occurred in the shape of the planet. What is more, it changed the geographical position of the North Pole.

GLOBAL DISASTERS: HARBINGERS OF GLOBAL ECONOMIC COLLAPSE

It is clear that natural disasters have a devastating impact on the stable development of the world economy, causing enormous economic damage to the countries in which they occur.

Summary analyses and statistics on the effect of natural disasters on the economy show how disasters and economic losses have increased both numerically and in magnitude. Subsequent increases in natural disasters will case economic instability around the world and a much more serious economic crisis.

SEISMIC ACTIVITY IS INCREASING GLOBALLY

31.5% of the people who have died in large earthquakes over the past 110 years have died in the last 10 years.

Figure 8 clearly shows that the catastrophic earthquakes occurring over the past 110 years increased abnormally in two different periods. The first period was from 1945-1948, while the second period is from 2003 until today. One should note that the second peak is 33% higher than the first peak.

The straight blue line in Figure 9 shows that earthquakes have consistently increased from 1977 to April 30, 2010. The dashed pink line indicates the number of earthquakes with extreme magnitudes. By looking at this observable trend of nature, we are able to come to the scientific conclusion that there has been an incredible increase.

VOLCANIC ACTIVITY IS INCREASING GLOBALLY

The number of volcanic eruptions occurring on the Earth in the first five months of 2010 was greater than the average annual number of volcanic eruptions for the past 110 years.

As is the case with earthquake dynamics, the dynamics of volcanic eruptions are connected to a certain cycle. An analysis of changes in the rate of volcanic eruptions occurring from 1900 until June of 2010 shows an increasing trend in the number of volcanic eruptions. This is clearly evident in Figure 10. There are three notable minimum levels in volcanic activity: 1916-1918, 1941-1942 and 1997-1998.

These minimums are indicators of cycles of volcanic activity. The cycle we are in currently began in 1999.

CONCLUSION:

Based on statistical analyses, the Earth's geodynamic activity can be generally summarized as follows:
We see that the seismic and volcanic activity on the Earth has increased noticeably, particularly in the past 10 years. Trend analyses of the number of large earthquakes, volcanic eruptions and the number of dead in large earthquakes lead us to conclude that these indicators have sharply increased since 2000.

TSUNAMI STATISTICS

Fig. 16: Graph and polynomial trend of the number of large tsunamis occurring from 1900 to 2009. (International Tsunami Information Center)

Fig. 21: USA flood statistics from 1980-2008.

The number of dead caused by tsunamis in the past ten years (1999-2009) is 10 times higher than in the past 100 years. A review of statistical studies carried out on tsunami dynamics in the past clearly shows that there has been a significant increase in the number of tsunamis in the past 20 years. This trend is still continuing.

FLOOD STATISTICS

Floods are one of the most severe natural disasters. They generally affect large areas. The effects caused by floods last longer than those of earthquakes, volcanic eruptions and tsunamis.

Statistics on flood dynamics in America from 1980 to 2008 indicate a noticeable increase. It is apparent from Figure 21 that there was a much more rapid increase from 1999 to 2005. We saw very large floods in 2010. On April 1, 2010, northeastern America was hit by the largest flood disaster of the last 200 years.

On May 1st and 2nd, heavy rains caused one of the largest floods in the state of Tennessee for the last one thousand years. In the second half of May, a huge flood swept through all of Eastern Europe. Thousands of hectares of land were submerged across Hungary, the Czech Republic, Slovakia and Poland.

CONCLUSION:

Analyses of statistical indicators of natural disasters occurring in the hydrosphere, such as the tsunamis and floods we have examined, unmistakably indicate that these kinds of natural disasters are increasing in number and intensity.

Statistical data from the past ten years clearly show a very definite increase in tsunamis and floods. Polynomial trends show that floods peaked with a sharp increase after the year 2000.

DYNAMIC ANALYSES OF HURRICANES, TROPICAL STORMS AND TORNADOS

Fig. 27: Changes in the frequency of tropical storms in the North Atlantic.

Fig. 30: Tornados occurring from 1950 to 2007.

Fig. 33: Graph of average annual size of area affected by forest fires in America from 1960 to 2007.

On September 8, 2005, US President George W. Bush said the following about Hurricane Katrina:

"Hurricane Katrina was one of the worst natural disasters in our nation's history. It caused unimaginable devastation and heartbreak throughout the Gulf Coast region."

Figure 27 shows a graph of large hurricanes in the Atlantic. It is apparent that the frequency of tropical storms after 1996 increased about 40% over previous annual averages. In order to understand how destructive these large storms are, all we need to do is look at the statistics for Hurricane Katrina:

Hurricane Katrina in 2005 and the subsequent floods caused 1,836 people to lose their lives. Economic loss in America exceeded 125 billion dollars. 300,000 houses were destroyed and 1,200,000 people were evacuated.

The graph in Figure 30 shows changes in the number of tornados in America over the years. The increasing trend has been shown with a straight line.

FOREST FIRE STATISTICS

Forest fires are another global disaster that occurs on our planet. In addition to causing extensive damage to the environment and the ecosystem, they also cause massive economic losses each year.

According to data from the National Fire Center in America, 4.85 million hectares of land burned in 2006 and 2.65 million hectares burned in 2007. These fires were the worst of the past 50 years. The area of forested land burned by fires in America increases a little bit each year.

GEOPHYSICAL AND COSMIC FACTORS

Over the past 25-30 years, certain significant changes have occurred in geophysical and spatial parameters. How might these changes be related to natural disasters? This section will explain the massive size and scale of the changes that are occurring between the Earth and the solar system.

One of the principle physical characteristics of our planet is the Earth's magnetic field, which is a result of the complex energy exchange between the Earth's inner and outer cores. It is thought that the magnetic field forms due to the flow of massive amounts of liquid iron in the outer core, which is wrapped around the solid inner core.

The plasmasphere is the name of the region in the upper levels of the atmosphere where magnetic lines of force are in a bipolar orientation. This region contains a large number of ions. The condition of the plasma that is retained by our magnetic field is determined by the interaction of the Earth's magnetic field with the solar wind. This explains the relationship between solar flares and the magnetic storms that occur on Earth.

Fig. 41: Graph of the velocity of magnetic North Pole movement.

The intensity of the magnetic field on the Earth is largely dependent on geographical location. 2,500 years ago, the magnetic field was 50% stronger than it is today. This is called " inversion".

The magnetic fields have changed locations many times throughout world history. There are also changes in the magnetic field that are smaller than inversions, and these are called excursions. In excursions, the geomagnetic poles may move short or long distances, but geomagnetic inversion does not occur. According to ground observations made by Mandea and Dormy, the velocity of the north geomagnetic pole has doubled over the past 30 years, reaching 40 km per year in 2003. Now it is moving at a rate of 50 km per year.

VARIATIONS OF ANGULAR VELOCITY OF EARTH'S ROTATION

Rotation is the Earth rotating on its own axis. At the beginning of the 20th century, it was discovered that there are irregularities and changes in the daily rotation of the Earth. According to Ginsberg's theory, the changes in the rotation rate of the Earth are caused by electromagnetic interaction between the Earth and the Sun. The studies carried out by Kropotkin in 1984 indicated that
"changes in the diameter of the Earth cause cycles in tectonic processes as well as changes in the angular speed of the earth."

According to Kropotkin, who established a close correlation with the Chandler wobble, the Earth's angular speed and seismic activity can be unified with a single logical system. In 2005, a group of scientists (Friedmann, Klimenko and Polyachenko) investigated the correlation between the Earth's global seismic activity and its rotation speed. Their research led to the following conclusion:

"When the Earth's crust expands or contracts in the opposite direction of the rotational axis, this causes annual seismic activity and changes in the angular speed of the Earth's rotation."

The views of the authors of this report are as follows:

" Without a doubt, variations in the daily rotation of the Earth are connected to large changes and deformation processes in the core, lithosphere, hydrosphere and atmosphere. A confirmation of this is the fact that after the Indonesia earthquake (December 26, 2004), the angular speed of the Earth's rotation changed and its axis shifted."

THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN THE SUN AND THE EARTH

The sun is the largest energy source that affects the Earth from space. The sun emits 3x10³³cal of energy per year. It is the source of all electromagnetic radiation, the interplanetary plasma cloud and cosmic solar rays made up of fast electrons. The sun loses most of its energy in the form of wave radiation.

The solar spots that appear on the surface of the sun are indicators of increasing solar activity. Research indicates that it takes 11 years for a solar spot to travel to the equator. At the end of each 11 year cycle, the polarity of the magnetic field at the poles changes. Thus the Sun's magnetic cycle lasts 22 years.

SOLAR ACTIVITY AFFECTS GEODYNAMIC PROCESSES

In recent years, it has been proven that solar activity has a greater and more widespread effect on planetary dynamics than was previously thought. According to a study done by Vladimirsky in 2002, very sensitive physical and chemical processes occurring on the earth are affected by various aspects of solar activity.

Volcanic Activity

Fig. 48: Graph of solar activity and graph showing the number of volcanic eruptions over 5-year averages.

Many scientists have tried to define the statistical relationship between volcanic indicators and solar activity. For example, Abdurrahmanov claims that there is a connection between volcanic eruptions and the 11-year cycle of solar activity. According to him, volcanic eruptions are at a minimum during the years in which solar activity is at a maximum, while volcanic eruptions are at a maximum when solar activity is at a minimum.

Research carried out by a group of scientists that includes Khalilov comes to the following conclusion: "During periods of increased solar activity, there is an increase in compression zone earthquakes on the Earth but a drop in the activity in the Earth's expansion zones."

It is clearly apparent from Fig. 48 that there is a correlation between the 11-year cycle of solar activity and the cycle of volcanic activity.

Seismic Activity

Many studies have been carried out to investigate the relationship between seismic activity and solar activity. Vasileava and Kozhanchikov came to the following conclusion based on a study of 2,000 earthquakes that occurred in different parts of the world during the solar cycle from 1962 to 1973:

"Earthquakes close to the surface increased as solar activity became more severe, but during this time when solar activity was at a maximum, a drop was observed in deep-focus earthquakes. In years when solar activity is at a minimum or maximum, overall seismic activity increases 10-30%. Furthermore, earthquakes are electromagnetically based: they are related to the structure of the magnetosphere."

When various studies have been carried out by scientists on the fact that seismic activity appears to be related to 11-year cycles, they have come to the conclusions that solar wind triggers earthquakes when mechanical stress reaches critical levels or that in years when solar activity is at a minimum, earthquakes occur more frequently.

CONCLUSION:

The speed at which the magnetic north pole is shifting has increased more than 500% since 1980. This indicates that there is an increase in the Earth's geodynamic activity due to the electromagnetic field that forms because of complicated energy processes that occur in the inner and outer core.

A correlation has been identified between changes in the angular speed of the Earth’s rotation and trends in the solar constant. A correlation has been also found between trends in volcanic activity and the sun.

A direct correlation has been discovered between the number of large earthquakes, the number of people that died in these earthquakes, large tsunamis and solar activity (11-year cycles).

SUDDEN ENERGY INCREASE IN THE EARTH'S CORE

1) Relationship Between Natural Disasters and the Rate of Magnetic Polar Shift:

The rate of movement of the geomagnetic poles is one of the most important indicators of changes in energy in the Earth's core. No matter what theoretical model is used, it is clear that there is a significant jump in the rate of movement of the magnetic north pole. This indicates that there is an energy increase in the Earth's core and in the layers that surround it.

The fact that there has been a jump of more than 500% in the shift rate of the North Pole is related to significant changes in the energy processes of the inner and outer cores. For that reason, it is evident that the release of the globe's internal energy will result in large earthquakes and volcanic eruptions.

On the other hand, the sharp change in the movement rate of the Earth's magnetic north pole also has an effect on global climate change. It is known that the Earth's magnetic field affects the movement of plasma and the flow of electricity in the upper regions of the ionosphere as well as the overall electrical characteristics of that region. The fact that the shift rate of the North Pole has increased by a factor of five may have affected the energy potential in the upper atmosphere, thus affecting the distribution of cyclones and anticyclones. As is evident from the graphs, the sudden energy in the Earth occurred after 1998.

2) Abnormal Change in the J2 Coefficient

In 1998, abnormal changes began to occur in certain geophysical parameters on the Earth. These changes occurred as a spike in the J2 coefficient. This fixed constant is determined by American satellites using a laser ranging system.

The J2 coefficient indicates the dynamics of the ratio between Earth's equatorial and polar radii. NASA has adopted the view that the J2 coefficient has been getting smaller for years due to the ice caps melting on the earth’s crust since the Ice Age. This is an indication that the Earth's radius is increasing at the poles and getting smaller at the equator. Furthermore, new data indicates that the J2 coefficient has been increasing since 1998. This represents a change in the global distribution of the Earth’s mass. The Earth is expanding at the equator while the poles are getting flatter. Thus, certain events that are thought to be of a global scale occurred in 1998: Not only did the Earth's distribution of mass change, there were small changes in the Earth's shape.

3) Changes in Sea Level around the Globe

Fig. 57: Changes in (1) J2 coefficient, (2) number of large earthquakes, (3) number of deaths in earthquakes from 1980-May 2010.

Fig. 58: Number of volcanic eruptions (below) compared with changes in the J2 coefficient (above) from 1980 to 2010.

The timing of these events coincides with the anomaly apparent in the J2 coefficient. In a study about this topic published in 2003, F. Chao et al. reported that the effect of the J2 coefficient observed on the Earth’s oceans was three times higher than the change it caused on the distribution of water masses.

4) Global Change in Tropospheric Temperature

The tropospheric temperature was observed to increase abnormally in 1998. Comparing the J2 coefficient with the global temperature changes in the troposphere will help us find a correlation between the abnormality in the J2 coefficient in 1998 and the temperature change.

In conclusion, there is a clear correlation between the abnormal spike in the J2 coefficient in 1998 and the processes occurring in the atmosphere and hydrosphere.

5) Large Earthquakes

An analysis comparing the abnormal change in the J2 coefficient with the dynamics of the numbers of earthquakes with magnitude greater than 8 occurring from 1980 to 2010 clearly shows that beginning in 1997-1999 there was an exponentially rapid change in the number of large earthquakes and number of deaths that they caused. (Fig. 57)

6) Volcanic Eruptions

Analyses comparing volcanic eruptions with changes in the J2 coefficient indicate that volcanic activity was at a minimum in 1997 and 1998. However, a sharp increase in volcanic activity was observed after that dip (Figure 58).

7) Tsunamis

A dramatic change has been observed in the statistical distribution of annual occurrences of catastrophic, medium and weak tsunamis since 1998. There was an exponential increase in the statistics of the annual number of tsunamis that occurred.

8) Floods

An analysis of the change in the number of severe floods occurring in America for the past 100 years clearly shows that there has been a significant increase in these figures since 1998.

Fig. 61: Deaths occurring due to floods in America from 1920 to 2010.

In particular, reports of floods around the world from February 2010 to May 2010 were 2.5 times higher than the number of floods occurring during the same period of time from 2002 to 2006. (Fig. 61)

9) Tornados

Germany is an example of the sharp increase in the number of tornados occurring after 1998. From 2000 to 2005, 2.5 times more tornados occurred than in the previous ten years. As has been previously mentioned, a similar situation has been observed in America.

10) Hurricanes and Tropical Storms

A large increase in tropical storms was observed in the North Atlantic from 1998 to 2007. This trend is still continuing today.

11) Forest Fires

Fig. 66: Changes in the areas affected by forest fires in Eastern and Western Europe and the Commonwealth of Independent States.

The dynamics of annual forest fires occurring in America from 1960 to 2007 exhibited a significant growth trend starting in 1998. Similar dynamics have been observed in forest fire statistics from different parts of the world.

For example, a large increase was witnessed in the number of forest fires and the areas affected by fire in Kazakhstan in 1997. Similarly, a growth trend is continuing in the annual number of forest fires in Western and Eastern Europe and the Russian Federation. In short, a large wave of forest fires began around 1998.

12) Planetary Activities Affect Global Climate Change

Fig. 31: Global temperature change on the Earth. (IPCC)

During times when the Earth's internal activity becomes more intense, the Earth’s mantle releases more gases, which is one of the primary factors that cause changes in global temperature. The process of global temperature change progresses like this: As a result of an increasing number of volcanic eruptions, increased seismic activity and deep fault lines in the Earth's crust, gases begin to spread first into the oceans and then into the atmosphere. During this process, higher amounts of greenhouse gases are released from the Earth's crust into the atmosphere.

Climate change is related to changes in the magnetosphere and geomagnetic field parameters. In particular, the fact that the magnetic north pole has shifted 500% and that there has been a reduction in the geomagnetic field intensity play a role in global climate change. It is now a proven scientific fact that processes in the magnetosphere have an effect on the globe.

It has also been proven that global climate change is affected by solar activity and especially by change in the solar constant.

CONCLUSIONS: EARTH'S PROBABLE DESTINY IN THE NEAR FUTURE!

Based on the studies that have been carried out until now, we are presented with the following situation: The sudden increase in energy in the Earth's core is becoming evident in all of our planet’s layers: the lithosphere, hydrosphere, atmosphere and magnetosphere. We call this the global energy spike. This process began around 1998. The global energy spike has clearly become evident in statistics showing that natural disasters are rapidly increasing. Furthermore, global climate change is affected by natural factors that are a direct result of this energy spike. Although IPCC reports have described this effect, it is far beyond current estimates.

The Geochange Group has developed long-term estimates of the increase in global seismic, volcanic, tsunami and solar activity.

We will try to establish the magnitude of only some events because this is a very difficult and complex task. Our goal is to make long-term estimates for the next ten years. While we are making these long-term estimates, we will make use of a principle that is valid for long-term estimates in any field of science: " To see the future, you must take a good look at the past."

Forecast of Global Seismic Activity (Long-Term)

In this study, our goal is to make forecasts for the future by looking at the occurrence of earthquakes in the past. It is possible to talk about the cyclical nature of all natural events. When it comes to seismic activity, this cyclical nature must be taken into account in order to make a long-term forecast. In order to reveal the cyclical nature that is hidden in natural events, various linear or non-linear transformations can be used. When studying cyclical events, we use averages of events at certain intervals.

Fig. 84: Number of earthquakes with a magnitude greater than 6.5 from 1976-2010 and possible trend after 2010.

Fig. 85: Monthly figures of earthquakes with a magnitude greater than 6.5 and a projection up to 2015, with monthly earthquake figures shown in red and 11-month averages shown with a black line.

Fig. 86: Annual number of earthquakes with a magnitude greater than 8 and a forecast up to 2016.

Fig. 87: Annual number of earthquakes with a magnitude greater than 8 from 1900-2010 and our forecast up to 2016.

Fig. 88: Annual number of volcanic eruptions in the world from 1900-2009 and forecast until 2020.

Fig. 89: Number of large tsunamis from 1900-2010.

First of all, let's look at earthquakes with a magnitude of greater than 6.5 from 1976 to May 2010. We will use 11-month averages when studying these earthquakes.

Fig. 84 shows a graph plotted according to monthly averages of these earthquakes. The cycle of the sinusoidal curve is approximately 18 years. When we project the sinus curves beyond 2010, we can see that there will be an increase in the level of seismic activity from 2010 to 2016.

Figure 84 also shows small cycles from 1.5 to 3 years in length that have been numbered from 1 to 17. When that is combined with the aforementioned projection, it is possible to see two small cycles with two peaks from 2010-2016 in the graph.

The first activity will be very high in 2011, when many large earthquakes are expected, but seismic activity will temporarily drop in 2012 and then peak again but much higher in 2013-2015.
In Figure 85, it is apparent that the high point of the sinus, which is the most intense seismic activity, occurs from 2010-2015. If we assume 2-3 year cycles, the largest earthquakes are expected in 2011 and 2013.

We can also learn important information from the annual number of earthquakes with a magnitude greater than 8, which is shown in Figure 86. By continuing the sinus curve and straight line trend, we can see in the graph a projection of seismic activity up to 2016.

Figure 87 shows earthquakes with a magnitude greater than 8 from 1900 to May 2010. In that graph, it is necessary to look at larger 75-year (1905-1980) sinusoid cycles.

This graph shows a forecast that the next period of high activity will be 2011-2115. When we also take small cycles into account, it seems probable that the next significant activity will be in 2011 and 2013.

Forecast of Global Volcanic Activity (Long-Term)

We will now make forecasts about the future of volcanic activity using the same methods.

Figure 88 depicts volcanic eruptions with a sinus curve and an increasing straight line. The straight line shows the increasing activity while the sinus curve shows the cyclical character of the activity.

The sinus curve makes it apparent that the periods are 26 years long. The projection we have made based on this sinus curve and straight line makes it possible to see that there will be a peak of activity in 2011 and 2013, with an interval of minimum activity in 2012.

From January 1 to May 31 2010, 52 volcanic eruptions occurred. This shows that it is reasonable to expect 100-110 volcanic eruptions in 2011-2013.

Forecast of Tsunami Activity (Long-Term)

The forecast of large tsunamis is in essence a forecast of large earthquakes and volcanic explosions cause tsunamis. We made a 5 year forecast of the number of large tsunamis. In Figure 89, we have graphed the number of large tsunamis from 1990-2010. The straight line shows the increasing tsunami trend.

When we examine these cycles, we can expect an increase in large tsunamis in 2011 and 2013. Very severe natural disasters are expected before 2016.

In conclusion, the expected occurrence of natural disasters that we have described here will have a negative effect on human life and the advancement of civilization; it will cause death and destruction never before witnessed in human history. After these disasters reach their peak, they will decrease beginning in 2016.

References:
1) Prof. Dr. Elchin N. Khalilov, " Geochange: Problems of Global Changes of the Geological Environment", International Scientific Journal, Vol.1, London, Munich, 2010, ISSN 2218-5798.
2) www.geochangemag.org